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THE PROBLEM
Every great nation faces the challenge of maintaining its greatness. Addressing that challenge also means survival for the nation. America today faces such a challenge. We need to Save America now before it is too late.

When the governor of Virginia was explained this, he asked if this was “over the top.” He asked if such dramatic tone was really necessary. The answer is “yes.”

America faces a challenge today for its very survival. Americans are in denial about their addiction to government much the same as how a drug addict is in denial, but until Americans understand the problems that we face and how serious the problems really are, then America will suffer the same demise as every other great nation in history.

America faces some very difficult challenges. The retirement of so many baby boom workers over the next 20 years without enough younger workers to replace them will place an enormous strain on Social Security revenues vs. expenses, on Medicare costs, and on the economy. The high level of people retiring without enough younger people replacing them is decreasing the demand for goods, is decreasing the demand for housing, and is depleting our brain trust of intelligence/experience. And increase to exports cannot replace the loss of demand for goods because of an aging population. Foreign countries will just increase competition to maintain their amount exports as the USA tries to be more competitive with its exports. The huge amounts of immigration for the previous 20 years is changing the culture of America as more immigrants are used to offset the lack of births to American citizens. The huge increases to the number of government workers in the federal government and local governments and the high levels of pay for those workers are causing record deficits to our federal and local governments. The loss of manufacturing to more cost effective foreign manufacturers continues to cause more unemployment to American workers. The low levels of science and engineering graduates vs. liberal arts graduates is making America weaker. The high level of dependence on foreign oil is draining capital from America. And the threats from enemies to America are real and are increasing.

In 1984, Ravi Batra wrote The Great Depression of 1990. His book was a prediction of a depression for 1990 that would affect the world.

As a PhD in economics from India, Dr. Batra studied hundreds of societies from the previous couple of thousand years and developed a model that he used to predict future events. His model was very accurate despite all the criticism from liberal educators. Around 1990, give or take a little depending on the country, the world did feel an economic crisis. Given that we in the United States did not have a clue in 2007 about the economic crisis coming in 2008, it was amazing that Batra could so accurately forecast an economic downturn six years in advance of 1990. How was the world affected?
    • The USSR crumbled into several independent countries.
    • The Japanese economy fell apart.  Its stock market lost half its value and has not yet recovered almost 20 years later.
    • Europe fell into disarray, which set the stage for the Euro as the accepted currency.
    • The United States went through a mild recession that cost George H. W. Bush his reelection.

Batra forecasted correctly.  Batra claimed that all civilizations fall victim to a cycle.  He claimed that the cycle could be stopped.  It could be slowed down or sped up.  But it could not be reversed.  Like time, it can only go forward.  Smaller cycles can exist within larger cycles and the smaller cycles also follow the same pattern.  By determining where any given society was in the cycle, a prediction could be made.  He claimed that he could find no evidence that any society varied from the cycle in any of the hundreds of cases that he studied.

The cycle is simple.  Pick any spot on this continuum: 


According to Batra, totalitarian governments give way to democracy.  Just as the United States was founded from the totalitarian rule of Great Britain, all totalitarian governments eventually succumb to some form of democracy.  We just watched it happen in Egypt where that totalitarian government gave way to the demand of the people for democracy.  Eventually, those democracies replace themselves with socialism.  Socialist societies eventually crumble in chaos, and totalitarian rulers interject themselves to bring order to the chaos.  Some might argue that some leaders cause socialism just so it can cause chaos so those leaders can then declare totalitarian governments to cure the chaos.  

Sometimes nations stay in a stage of the cycle for a long time, such as the United States under democratic rule for more than 200 years.  And sometimes they move through a stage in a matter of weeks or months, as is the case with Russia having recently moved from a totalitarian government in the late 1980s to democracy to socialism in the late ‘90s to chaos and then back to totalitarianism under Putin.  But the cycle always wins. 

The United States has gone through smaller cycles within the democracy stage, such as in the 1930s during a period of economic recovery, but the larger cycle remained firmly within democracy. 

Alexander Fraser Tytler, a Scottish history professor at the University of Edinburgh also developed a model very similar to the Batra model. About the time our original thirteen states adopted their new Constitution in 1787, he had this to say about the fall of the Athenian Republic some 2,000 years earlier:


A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government. A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy, which is always followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world’s greatest civilizations from the beginning of history, has been about 200 years. During those 200 years, those nations always progressed through the following sequence:

1. From bondage to spiritual faith
2. From spiritual faith to great courage
3. From courage to liberty
4. From liberty to abundance
5. From abundance to complacency
6. From complacency to apathy
7. From apathy to dependence
8. From dependence back into bondage

Today, almost half of Americans who are eligible to vote do not vote.  They are apathetic.  Today, almost half of Americans have some form of dependence on government.  Today, government workers get paid more money for the same jobs than what are paid to workers in the private sector.  Today, there are more government workers than there are for the total amount of workers in construction and manufacturing combined. 

Notice that the last step before bondage is dependence.  That is why our Founding Fathers deliberately drafted the Declaration of “Independence.”  Those who promote dependence on government and interdependence with the rest of the world are leading us into bondage.  How long can the United States remain in democracy until it succumbs to the lure of socialism and then totalitarianism?  We are much closer than some would like to admit.

The symptoms of the disease that is affecting America are ever present:

1.       The ever increasing amount of debt that is now greater than the annual output of the nation.
2.      The declining birth rate to the intrinsic population to only half of the births needed to sustain the nation.
3.      The increasing percent of people who depend on the government to survive to where it is now more than 50%.
4.      The increasing growth of government as a percent of GDP to where more than 50% is needed for local and federal government expenses.
5.      The increasing number and amount of taxes levied on the working part of the population to where it is now more than 50% of income of the average worker (income, sales, property, imbedded, tolls, fees, Social Security, payroll, Federal, state, local, etc).
6.      The continual printing of money at a rate of a Trillion dollars per year to pay for the government debts that are not covered by tax revenues.
7.      The continual government bailouts to organizations that are owed political favors.
8.      The lack of growth to employment in the private sector that is needed to match the growth of the general population.
9.      The continual dependence on energy from 3rd world countries that are our enemies.
10.  The subservient actions by American leaders to a world body (especially the UN) that forces the rights in our own Constitution to be negated.
11.  The highest cost per student for education of any country in the world with the lowest scholastic achievement in science and math of any industrialized country.
12.  An increase from 20% of children born out of wedlock in the inner cities to 70%.        

If America was a patient in a hospital, the doctors would say that some heroic act is needed to save the patient.  They would pull out the heart zappers and shock the patient on the chest to get his/her heart going. 

Yes, we need to save America now!  And it will require some heroic actions.